There are a lot of questions in the air in New York regarding Tebow, with the primary focus on Tebow's chances of taking over the starting job as quarterback of the Jets. Every indication from Jets camp is that the chances are low, but that's exactly what they're supposed to tell you. Bear in mind that the Jets just invested a medium-length, medium-money contract on Mark Sanchez, so they aren't going to give up on him that easily.
Tim Tebow is the only quarterback in history to have two consecutive
seasons of 6 rushing TD's or more. Is two years enough to mark Tebow as
a model of consistency? Perhaps, especially when you bear in mind that he started neither season as the starting quarterback of his team. Tebow just has a way of defying the odds, doing the things that you never would've bet on.This year, he should be viewed no differently. It's no secret that Mark Sanchez has struggled at times as the starting quarterback for the Jets. Conceivably, if games start going awry for the Jets, we could even see a timeshare between the two quarterbacks, playing a roughly even number of snaps per game. And of course, we could even see Tebow take over Sanchez's job, as previously mentioned. Whatever the case may be, Tebow will see the field in every game this season, as long as he's healthy. How often, and in what roles? That's the question, but think of it this way: as the season progresses and becomes more of a grind, every team needs to make adjustments, whether relative to injuries or poor play. Tebow is an adjustment that can make life hard for opposing defenses, so I don't think it's a stretch to think that there will be games where he plays bigger roles on offense, especially later in the season.
What does this mean in terms of fantasy football? I'll say this much: as long as he's healthy, I would bet on Tebow rushing for at least 6 TD's again this season. His point output from week to week could be frustratingly inconsistent; 14 points one week, and 2 the next. He becomes far more valuable if whatever service you use gives him RB eligibility, as even with that inconsistency, there will be weeks where you could use 2 or 3 points from your flex slot. Again, he's a situation to watch as the season progresses. It comes back to adjustments; even if the Jets are having a good season, they're going to want to stay creative to keep their edge. Tebow is the trump card that every coach wants in their pocket.Given his near sure-fire value as the season progresses, he's certainly worth a spot on your bench as your backup or 2nd backup quarterback. Don't pay too much attention to rankings when you're considering where to draft him; his popularity and upside shatters the regular mold, and people will be brave enough to draft him really early. If you reach a juncture where your possible picks are unappealing, or if you simply have decided to draft your backup quarterback in a certain round and you want Tebow, don't hesitate.
Lastly, due to Tebow's presence, Mark Sanchez is a major boom/bust pick. What that means is that Sanchez could really flourish this year, given the extra pressure to work hard, or he could be an awful pick. I would expect to see Tebow taken in most drafts before Sanchez, so feel free to wait on grabbing him and if you have a chance to get him very late in your draft, I don't think it would hurt to give him a try.
Next time, we talk quarterbacks and my unique draft strategy with them. A WTHM post might make an appearance in between. Have a good one!
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